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Romford Tonight
Posted on Friday, February 27 @ 10:06:36 EST by gonnaknockyouout
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WakingNed writes "Fairly decent card tonight down at London Road, i'm hoping for a profitable night...click read more for a look at the card...GL All
Romford Friday 27th Feb
7.30 We open with what was once the customary sprint for a Friday night and a fair field has assembled to kick the evening off. One of the stars of Friday nights this past few years Slug City returns to the track after over seven weeks off and he warmed up nicely for this with a nippy 13.73 trial on Tuesday. He has only raced the once over this two bend trip clocking 13.85 but his followers know this fella is all about early dash as so many of his four bend triumphs have come courtesy of. Whether he’s a match for these more natural sprinting types is another matter. Slug City is a fine dog, a dog I have been a fan of but his form from Oct to the beginning of December took a notable dive and I just wonder if this run tonight is more a sharpener than a deliberate target and I’m happy to let him run without backing. So who do I fancy in this two bend dash? RAGGLETAGGLEJACK caught the eye in defeat here before opening his account at the third time of asking in his last visit here. A best of 13.78 is a fair if not great clocking but he has the scope to improve on that with racing here. Since that Feb 6 win he has endured a couple of rough races round Hove and was particularly unlucky not to get a run last Thursday. Drawn it seems in between two kippers and perhaps dogs that would be more suited to a longer run to the first Raggletaggle can catapult out from the cans and make a b-line for the fence to nip round unscathed this time and land back to back wins here. His trainer does well on his Romford raids and this looks a good opportunity tonight. Just to further strengthen the selections claims of bossing the inside it must be noted neither T1 or T3 have been round and this short dash won’t be forgiving for any lack of navigation. The bigger dangers are outside. T4 High St Ego is very quick when the trapping boots are on. A 13.59PB displays his capabilities but 4 of his 5 wins over CD have been from T5 and he is in fact 0 from 4 from the coffin over this 225 trip. I’ll oppose him on these trap stats while T6 Cool Cashin has been struggling to get his nose in front lately. No win in eight for this Seamus Cahill black but he at least gets his box clad in the stripes tonight and his late kick could see him on the premises at the business end. T2 for me though to get us rolling. Tissue: 8, 11/4, 8, 5, 11/2, 4
7.45 Poor race is the next but a race nethertheless and I’m putting up a likely outsider to spring a surprise. With such little in the way of good CD form on offer it’s a tough race to unravel but T4 LIL ELITE has a couple of lines of form suggesting there’s more than a best of 36.34 in his locker. He’s only had two runs here, beaten a length and a length and a half respectively so he’s run the track well enough and tonight I fancy his chances of turning up with the pace and being more than competitive this time round. Round Crayford he has clocked a decent 33.91 which, just quickly, sees him hold red by nearly 5L and if he can rekindle some of the early pace which was present in many of his races early last year then he looks sure to run a race. Of the rest I can’t have red, not been round and moderate round Crayford while T3 Pantone Bogart reverts to the flat after some hurdles spins this year but he has to improve on what his shown over CD to figure especially if tardy at the start as is the norm. T2 Tredgolds Sarah could be interesting stepping up in trip. I wouldn’t say she was bred to stay but she certainly hinted that a further couple of bends wouldn’t hurt when running on well last week(in front at pick up). She could lead the inside and is the dog I fear most. T5 Rabbie Burns is 1 from 8 over 575m and his best effort over the trip came back in Nov ’07 so surely there’s something in here to beat him while T6 Move On Kewell has to prove himself here after a disappointing last in Mondays heats of the TV Maiden Stayers. Wide running antics proved costly, he’ll need to stay straighter this evening as he no doubt does have some smart Don form which if transferred to this circuit makes him tough to beat…but that IF is still a big one.
Tissue: 12, 4, 6, 4, 6, 3
8.01 The third race on the card presents me with one of those heart vs heads scenarios as I have a connection with one of the runners, T4 JIMMY LOLLIE. Last Friday was seen as an ideal opportunity for Jimmy to open his account after greenness saw him run off at the first the week before. That experience and a switch of box nearly paid dividends last Friday when after a moderate break he showed terrific pace to challenge the leader into the arc only to be forced to check and lose all momentum. To his credit he came again and approaching the paddock I think the words ‘he’s ate him’ came out of my trap as he looked like he was about to gag up. But it wasn’t to be, he had seemingly done his running and his effort petered out to the line but he did nick a bronze to his credit. The encouragement of that run was gleamed from the pace he showed and the immediate thoughts were a middle draw could work the oracle to get him out on terms next time round. Well Seamus must’ve been listening as no sooner had he run at Romford he was appearing on Hoves advanced card for Tuesday in a sprint with a middle tag applied! Happy Days! Well, it would’ve been had the race he got entered in had attracted some wide seeds! Not to worry tho, the draw looked workable with Jimmys early looking enough to lead up and then get across. Confidence was high, and those in Betfair land agreed as he was not matched at any bigger than 2.8. He duly obliged with a very smart 16.45 just 6 spots off the quickest of the night clocked in the top division of the sprint(which included Ibetx Dot Com and Fire For Effect) That win got the juices flowing again and all attention then onto tonights race. I think this is a much better race than last week but one that he can win with a smart break. He’s got a middle draw one of the factors I believe he’ll need round here to aid trapping and we’re hopeful he puts it all together tonight. The rivals then? Must start with red. The trials of Glengar Clover read well…but…they’ve all been from the pinging box! Tonight he’s got to operate from red…how many have we seen miss it from here first time out? Too many! Add to that a pacey Tinas Drogba in two and trap ones leadability claims are dwarfed further. Tinas Drogba deserves a lot of credit for his run last week. I believe the winner of that race is very good(we’ll get to him later on the card) but the pace and the way he railed was that of a nice sort…and that on his first look! Last weeks 24.41 I have down as Tinas Drogbas best run to date so perhaps this circuit suits better than his regular haunt Yarmouth. They are drawn to come together inside which would be a drawback of course and in all honesty I’m hoping two holds one up. Droopys Kiko in three looks another nice sort based on his Wimbledon form. A 27.90 round there for the sharper 460 trip is a nice effort and calculated would rate better than his 24.61 trial here last week. Kiko has early, the best of which would be very quick away but generally speaking he does break well. Perhaps the longer run up at the Don suits but a 3.73 clocked in his trial here suggests he can cope with this sharper track. I’m not too concerned by the outside pair. Yes Jhan in five finished ahead of Jimmy last Friday and did stay on well after a slight check at the first but I’m confident in a clean run race we’d have too much pace while six Clash Uptown Boy lacks a look round and his form is not quite this level yet.
8.17 Hopefully Jimmy will have provided us with some ammo to start playing up in the next and my value bet of the night is T6 DRUMENA RUBY here. I’m happy to draw a line through Mondays run and focus more on her two runs previous which have caught my imagination. Two weeks ago she flashed from the cans, lead up but was soon caught and passed by the eventual winner Wise Opinion…it looked as though she was going to fold tamely but she soon got hold of the bit again and finished with real zest all the way to the line to be beat 2L. She then built on that run with what I think was a cracking effort last week. Up against a strongly fancied Pocket Queens she completely missed it, must’ve gave the winner seven to eight lengths start but the way she picked up, making relentless ground all the way home was stunning. She was beat a mere 1 1/4L and was in front at the pick up! If combining the best of both those efforts she could run a massive race here in a race where I think some taller reputations could be vulnerable round this circuit. None taller surely than T4 Droopys Canavaro whose Irish CV is first class and begs the question why he was sold and secondly how has he not won more races over here to date? He’s finished last in his last four races including his first look here and is looking a shadow of the animal that ran Tyrur Laurel to a length! An exceptional trial over 400m here sucked me in a few weeks ago I’ll be honest but this losing streak and lack of even being competitive in his races lately concerns me and I have to take him on. If he gets loose he could destroy this field but that Irish form needs to be rediscovered pronto. Another dog who is likely to be short here is T2 Vito Rocket who’s CV boasts smart form round venues such as Hove, Swindon and Sittingbourne. Anything similar about these three circuits? I make them the three largest tracks in this country so I’m coming from the angle that this sharp circuit will not play to his strengths. T3 Shelbourne Fizz has not been round here and is up in both class and trip and although she’s unexposed I think this will be a bit too hot for her while T5 Crucial Girl has only run away from Wimbledon once and that was a poor 37.01 effort here! Her Don form is nothing special and there’s a chance she may move left from five too…which would aid my selections task. One dog who’ll have no problem with the trip is T1 Swift Moment who is a thorough staying type. He has a one in four strike rate over CD which will draw in some backers for sure but trailing through his form from red I’d be hesitant. Six for me, looking for a dream run on the outer to cause a minor upset. Tissue: 8, 7/2, 10, 2, 14, 4
A couple of hurdles races then grace the sand and if Hotdog Jack gets anywhere near last weeks level of form the clock could be threatened!
9.04 I was very surprised to see T6 LETHAL RAPUNZAL relinquish a healthy lead last week and backers of the re-opposing Spring Venice will fancy a repeat viewing this evening but as drawn it could be the striped jacket runner that exacts a quick revenge. Rapunzal is a very consistent sort and one of the leading bitches over CD this past twelve months. Her consistency lately from trap six has me giving her a very positive note tonight and she has to be backed. Her last six sectionals from the six box read as follows 3.70, 70, 71, 65, 73 and 72 any of which should see her comfortably control the outer and set about collaring the likely pacesetting Pigalle Star in trap two. Now Pigalle for me is always vulnerable to a strong sort and this field has plenty of them. No doubting her early though…nothing can match her sectionals. Of the rest it’s not hard to make a case for Spring Venice seeing as she beat the selection last week but I just don’t like her draw this evening while Murlens Snowdrop in five is struggling for consistency here ever since her rapid 24.27 which is looking more like a one off as each week passes. Borna Crown is held on times but T1 Lisas Choice is more than interesting on her first look here. This dog rates a live danger if negotiating a run. Her Peterborough form reads really well and theres plenty of dogs that have transferred form from that smallish circuit to this similar track. She has early, boasts a fine strike rate and it’d be no surprise to see her in the shake up. One to watch for sure. Tissue: 5, 4, 14, 7/2, 10, 5/2
9.20 The last race screened live to the shops is a competitive looking stayers final and although on the clock the favourite T4 Sheepwalk Dee has plenty in hand the draw tonight is an unknown. She’s never raced out of the coffin, will this hinder or aid her trapping which of late has been in cracking order? I don’t like the look of it as she could run into Fat Man Dan as they bustle for early positioning and on this basis I’ve gone inside for my token selection. T1 BALLYBEHY MAEVE stepped up markedly on her previous visit here when scooting up on Monday night. Her Hove form suggested she had a decent level of ability and she can improve further round here for that confidence boosting win. This is the only place she has visited away from Hove so it would seem any entries here are very deliberate and clearly this minor two round comp was deemed as winnable. She’ll have a fight on her paws for dominance of the inside as T2 Swift Minute has good early but if managing to drop on the inside of this runner I fancy we can run a big race.
As for the remainder of the card LETHAL FREDDIE 9.36 returned to something near his best last week with a smart, fast win in a similar event to tonights. My only drawback to Freddies chances is the orange jacket he has to wear this evening. Last week he extended his terrific strike rate from six with a narrow win but it’s a different story for Freddie from five. He is one from six clad in amber but he does have three seconds in that half dozen races. He’ll need to trap well to negotiate a run but I see him outpacing six to the bend although I wouldn’t want to see him cut in as blatantly as he did last week or he could meet a collision course with those drawn inside him. With a run he wins as I rate him a class above even these smart rivals.
9.52 Rockchase Samy ran another game race in defeat last week to chase home a fast winner but it’s the same old story for him here on Friday nights and the one ‘just too good’ for him this evening looks to be T4 SHELBOURNE MISS. Chris Duggans runners must always be noted and Shelbourne Miss could be the last leg of a potential hat-trick for the shrewd handler. You look back through her CD form and her claims are bold. A regular sub 36 sec performer with some rapid sectionals to boot and if reaching that sort of form here tonight would be very hard to beat. She has to bounce back from a heavy defeat two weeks ago round Crayford but this rates a drop in class from the calibre in that line up.
10.08 I’ve seen some very nice dogs come out of maidens round here recently none more so than last weeks most impressive winner T6 SKY BOUND. After slightly missing the break and taking a nudge from his right he showed a mix of good pace and trackcraft to negotiate a run out of the opening turn from which the pace he showed down the back was first class. He went from fifth to third in a matter of strides and then loomed up as they approached the paddock turn. He threw his challenge down to the leader (Tinas Drogba) but it was never in doubt whether he’d catch him as he powered up the run in to win going away in a smart 24.35. That pace was maintained past the line suggesting there’s plenty in this fellas tank and I was really taken by the performance. This is a step up in class but he deserves a crack at these more proven sorts and he has nothing to fear. The dog I am most worried about is not Secretariat but T3 Brians Mate especially if he gets a flyer. His CV reads really well. Fast wins, fast defeats against a who’s who of top class 400m performers here and he has smart early toe when the trapping boots are on. His got the smash box too and I’d have him leading the inside on all known form. Going back to Secretariat I’m against him on draw alone. Trap five has not been kind to him, he’s one from seven out of five and such a different dog from the six box.
10.24 One of if not the most impressive winner last week T1 ONTHERIVER TEN gets a strong vote to land this stayers event especially if repeating the smash break of last Friday from tonights box! Last week she was foot perfect and clocked a classy 35.63 which is comfortably the best recent line on offer in the field. Breaking from red isn’t a renowned trait but I’m saying she’s done it once so why can’t she do it again? There’s a saying about bitches in form too…and that you should follow them. Well last week she couldn’t have been in better form so like a lemming I’m going with her again tonight! If running at their powers the opposition would rate much tougher but there’s a lot of negatives floating about this field. T2 Delwood Emma hasn’t been round and although her Golden Jacket form is smart this course and trip pose a whole new task for her. If she can apply her early toe she could be the fly in the ointment but it’s a big ask. Blonde Lucy I don’t think is consistent enough over the trip while Cagey Max hasn’t raced since December. The outside pair are the likely dangers. Brickfield Dream was terrific during November culminating in a fantastic trap to line win in the Essex Vase. Since then he’s won just one race(week later) and the trapping boots that he depends on have sadly deserted him. Cabanas is another who struggles for consistency. No doubt about the pace, it’s been shown plenty of times but he is so hard to catch right. Slow going and a definite bias would be when I’d give him more than a second look.
We round of with a really decent looking marathon and what many will see as a match between T3 CAPEL WILSON and Seamies Gambler. With just the one runner here tonight trainer Anthony Gifkins can make the raid worthwhile by watching his kennel star turn in another fine staying performance in a race he could gain control of at a very early stage. His form boasts some big runs here and only Bubbly Eagle I believe has gone quicker than him this year so why look elsewhere in the getting out stakes.
GL All
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