7.30 400M MAIDENS

Five of these ran last week and from watching the action back T6 CHEATING HEART looks a winner waiting to happen. This son of Tims Crow showed all his dads early speed last week when blasting out from the cans and was unfortunate to run into a tenacious Bubbly Sparky who he just couldn’t shrug off. Cheating Heart ran a bit wide off the last to give up the ground that his conqueror beat him by but that said it was a much improved run and one full of promise. From the lids Cheating Heart does cut in as he attacks the opening bend, a manoeuvre which will see the inside quartet squeezed from room in the early exchanges so the six dog tonight Ardagh Apple looks a cert to get a run and give us most to think about. Ardagh is a 24.54 dog here with a 2 from 2 record clad in the stripes. As long as recent exploits round Oxford haven’t erased memory of this circuit she looks a danger but I’m banking on us getting loose and not being reeled in this evening. Of the rest T2 Leaway Fitz ran well to finish second in a similar race last week. This dog moved off at the first after a moderate start but finished well to land a silver. The time tho leaves over five lengths to find with the selection. Ballymac Daisy and Blacknotblue both lack early and although Daisy showed decent middle Blacknotblue looks the stronger finisher. My concern for Blacknotblue is a tendency to try and get inside when making his move. This cost him last week as he must’ve checked up twice and I think he could be of more interest drawn closer to the fence. Bush Royale got done for middle pace last week and has shown me nothing to suggest on.

SEL – T5 CHEATING HEART 1PT WIN

Neds Tissue: 6, 9/2, 6, 9/2, 5/2, 11/4

7.45 575M MAIDENS

Some punters like to back two in a race and if the fractions allow it then this looks a race you can’t lose in. Back T2 Dawncourt Lady and T3 Noelles Saka as the winner looks set to come from these two runners. I have them well clear of their rivals tonight and this should turn into a duel. Dawncourt Lady ran a race full of promise behind classy Form Of Love on her first visit here but subsequently let us down next time out but she can be forgiven that blip and looks well drawn this evening to bid to make all. A 36.19 in defeat is not a bad effort considering she never got to dominate and although that run maybe short of what she’s achieved at Sittingbourne it suggests she’s capable of better especially if she does get the lead. Tonight I see her leading the inside up but it’s a case of how close Noelles Saka turns as to whether she can stay there. Noelles Saka is obviously highly thought of. Chucked right in the deep end for her English debut in an Open round Sunderland where next time out she finished a creditable four length second to Big Brett Coal over 640m. That trip was then extended on as she tackled 695m round Yarmouth where she clocked a time just two and a half lengths off the clock yet still got beat after making all. Perhaps the trip was extending her just too far so early in her career and this easy six bends should suit ideally. A lack of a race here is a concern but there’s no hiding from the fact that she has ability and that ability can shine through. She has three wides to her right so in theory should get plenty of racing room to move through the gears in and her all round speed can see her have Dawncourt Ladys measure as they turn for home. I can’t have any of the other four. Red didn’t look to stay to me last week, both four and six’s form is well short of what’s needed while five wants further and lacks a look round.

SEL – T3 NOELLES SAKA 1PT WIN

Neds Tissue: 6, 2, 7/4, 6, 6, 6

8.01 400M

Last Friday our in house commentator said Grenrose Lilly got run off her feet and he was spot on…I’m hoping for a touch of Déjà vu this evening as I fancy T5 FREEDOM MAN to run the legs let alone feet off everything here tonight. This dog is improving, improvement coinciding with a switch to a wide seed and a last time out 24.19 is a run of a serious animal. He has a dog that’s not been round drawn outside him tonight and once asserting on the outer can open up into an unassailable lead for a first taste of Open success. The dangers are obviously T3 Grenrose Lilly who was in fine form until last weeks hammering. She was done for early by the winner, then middle by the re-opposing T2 Slick Warrior and then faced the wrath of the commentators tongue for being beat! Harsh! Tonight she’ll look to break better and lead those inside her as on the evidence of last week if Slick Warrior breaks level with her then she’ll be held by the runner inside her again. If Lilly can get loose she’s a big threat. The dog has hit the 24.35 mark regularly and boasts a decent 6 from 13 record drawn trap three. That said, her best still leaves her two lengths to find with an improving selection tonight. Of the rest Slick Warrior ran a game race in defeat last week. This Coventry raider will move left from boxes and has decent middle but Warrior was always held on Friday and I don’t see him having the speed to bustle up Freedom Man.

SEL – T5 FREEDOM MAN 2PTS WIN

Neds Tissue: 5, 4, 11/4, 5, 2, 6

8.17 575M MAIDENS

This is a precarious betting heat with the question mark over whether T6 Yourgorgeoustoo will stay or not. Personally I think the dog will and if he transfers his four bend form to this easy six he could make the transition very smoothly. This is a dog I like, mainly because he’s done me a few good turns but he’s a very consistent type and this extra yardage will play to his big striding action. A strong running type who has run on over the standard to dip under 24.30 on numerous occasions this son of Droopys Agassi is without doubt the best over four bends here. But this is six and he still has it to prove. For a debut over the trip tho this isn’t the hardest of entries and it looks well worth chancing his stamina this evening with question marks over his rivals who already have experience over tonights distance. Capel Tom Dooley boasts the best time of the field. A 36.05 in defeat from a bad draw on Monday reads better than it probably was tbh and for me still has plenty to prove over 575m. T3 Millwards Nicola I’ve put up a few times here but she looks like she needs to lead to be seen at best. In her defence she has been beaten by particularly smart winners in the shape of Love Mac, Raithby Syrah and Cagey Max so this would have to rate a drop in class but you’ll wanna see her turn in front rank if you do back her. Swift Stuart didn’t pick a paw up last week so it’s hard to suggest him while Same Approach needs to improve. T5 Alpinto finishes really well but needs to handle this track better as wide running antics are costing the dog ground when looking like threatening.

SEL – T6 YOURGORGEOUSTOO 0.5PTS WIN

Neds Tissue: 6, 4, 3, 8, 4, 5/2

8.32 400M HURDLES

BE ALL is running really well at present…seems folly to oppose.

8.48 400M

If the CENTAUR ROVER from July 11th turns up then the others won’t see which way he went tonight. What is he doing in a race like this? No disrespect to the other five runners but Centaur is different league to these and should be lining up in the next race imo. Lets hope Corals make this a double rick and price him up generously for us again so we can have it off on him for the second time this month! My only concern for Centaur is him breaking from two. He’s not been at his best at trap rise when clad in the blue jacket and his overall record of 4 wins from 19 starts drawn two isn’t great. That said tho he competes at the highest level round here and I’d be disappointed if he couldn’t dispose of these rivals.

SEL – T2 CENTAUR ROVER 3PTS WIN NB

Neds Tissue: 4, EVS, 5, 5, 9/2, 8

9.04 400M

You get a race every week that sees you torn between two dogs and that’s exactly whats happened with me this week with this race. Top or bottom? One or Six? Red or Stripes Ned? In what was a bit of a battle royale with my choices here I’ve sided with….T1 SWHIMASDYLAN albeit reluctantly! Lol. I think this is a very fast dog and could still be improving. In the early part of his career Swhimasdylan couldn’t win here, in fact he struggled. Five races with nothing better than a 24.93 to show for and it wasn’t until late last year that he started to show his true form when applying his trade round the Stow. His Stow form includes a 26.11 for the 430 with a 28.86 over the 475 which was about as far as he wanted. He then came back here in May and sauntered home clocking 24.24 in a moderate Open but he did it well. He has since had another trial here to keep the place familiar to him and tonight he has the chance to take the notable scalp of a certain Slug! In Slug City you’ve got one of the best dogs we’ve had the pleasure of seeing regularly over CD for the past year or so and I’m a fan of his. Blessed with terrific early pace and a tenacious attitude when in front this dog is a credit to connections and he certainly knows how to win round here. A seventeen time winner over the trip thanks to his early pace which is such a weapon round this circuit. Now when looking at tonights race the profile for both dogs was very similar. Can one lead two? Yes. Can six lead the outside? Yes. So what’s to separate them? If red breaks like he can he’ll reach the bend in front of Slug City imo. Then it really will test the Slug who is having his first run back since June 20th. Taking this fitness/sharpness into consideration maybe a factor as the last notable break Slug City had saw him not run his race first time up so perhaps tonight could be a night to take him on. Of the rest Murlens Woods is a strong sort who runs a very good back straight here. He could play a part if pacing up the inner of Slug City.

SEL – T1 SWHIMASDYLAN 1PT WIN

Neds Tissue: 2, 5, 5, 5, 7/2, 9/4

9.20 575M ROSE BOWL FINAL

Cracking final this, some real top drawer dogs lining up. I’m a massive Droopys Nelson fan and I’m not deserting him tonight. He has the early, he has the class and he has the right box to show it from. I like him from three, he’s a front runner and this box can propel him into that all important lead. It won’t be easy tho, there’s bundles of pace throughout the line up. Inside him Directors Chair oozes class but he was well held by Sherries Boy throughout when they clashed on Monday. The draw tonight tho could see Directors gain first run on Sherries now he’s housed nearer the fence but we need to lead the pair of them. Sherries is a very strong dog on the bunny as Mondays run showed. He’s held a very classy animal without too much bother and again gets his drawer in one. Another slick break will be needed tho but he’s not renowned for them. We’ll also have to be out quick to avoid Blonde Zak who could make a b-line for the rails as drawn. On what I’ve seen tho I think we’ll be away from him before he moves across our line. T5 Lethal Luxury does his best work coming home but as with Monday will probably get going too late in this class. T6 Eye On the Force has the best of the drawer and for me was the most impressive on the eye in the heats. He wasn’t that well away Monday but was brave and fast enough to pace up into a handy position attacking the bend. When he came out of it full of running it was game over and he went on to score in great style. This dogs record speaks for itself with only one defeat in eleven over CD. He didn’t get to run his race in a final here two weeks back that Nelson won mainly due to the presence of Barnfield Slippy outside him so tonight I expect a big run from him and he’s the one I fear most as drawn. ‘Just trap out Nelson my son’

SEL – T3 DROOPYS NELSON 2PTS WIN 5/2 CORAL

9.36 400M

This bitches race can go the way of last Fridays feature race runner up T4 IN TARAS MEMORY. She lost no face in being beaten by a flying Lethal Freddie and can exploit this class drop by making all here. She trapped out beautifully last week, a trait synonymous with her round her and a similar exit tonight should seal this early. She led the winner up last week and the pair kicked a good four clear at one stage only for Lethal Freddie to go into overdrive and win the race but there’s no Lethal Freddie in this line up so if Taras gets loose I don’t expect her coming back to the field. With a best of 24.24 she certainly can run and with a 50% SR drawn in four she’s housed in a box she has won from. There’s not a great deal of early inside her plus they’re all railers so the run to the bend looks a clear one. Desperate Sally in five hasn’t raced since May so she’ll lack sharpness while T6 Crown Countess has to bounce back from having her legs taken away last week when looking like running a race. Crown Countess is the danger clearly on form with a 24.25 on her card but I fancy Taras getting first run.

SEL – T4 IN TARAS MEMORY 1PT WIN

Neds Tissue: 5, 6, 6, 7/4, 8, 5/2

9.52 400M

Barnfield Haveit won his first race since winning here in September last year last Friday and the run was reminiscent of the dog that made such a promising start when under the care of Sam Poots back then. Now under the care of Chris Mosdall who had a good night last week this pacey sort holds strong claims if breaking from red. With a record of 4 wins from 9 over CD the dog clearly loves it here but his best runs have come drawn middle and he failed to run his race in two previous attempts from trap one. Another missed break and this one could be beyond him tonight but with a slow starting Cagey Dougie on his right he should at least lead the inside up. There is every chance of trouble outside as both Marcus Brutus in six and Helenas Ted in five are middle moving so the first bend could see bustling for position. If any of the middle seeds come out of the first bend in front they’ll take some catching but I couldn’t put my money on any of them confidently. Trap one may not be the box for breakers over this trip but it looks the safer box in this race tonight. He has nothing to find on the clock, in fact him and Helenas Ted boast the same PB of 24.24 so if Haveit can negotiate a good first bend we should get a run for our money.

SEL – T1 BARNFIELD HAVEIT 0.5PTS WIN

10.08 575M

Tonights Nap is a dog I said was well overpriced on Monday in a race a league above what this equates to tonight and he ran a race right back to the best of his form albeit in defeat. T3 BLONDE BUZZ was last out of the boxes but he paced up really well only to be checked going into the first. He came out of the second a handy third and then showed another gear to close to within a length of the pace setting Droopys Nelson. The pair drew clear and just when it looked like Buzz was about to challenge he was again checked at the paddock turn. Admittedly he tired a bit on the run in where he lost second to a running on Lethal Luxury but there was so many positives in that run that I’m having a decent bet on him this evening. He clocked 35.92 in defeat Monday making it five sub 36 sec runs over CD for this black. With a best of 35.74 there’s a bit more to come from this John Mullins trained raider and tonight he gets the blessed trap three to aid his leading claims. This dog has plenty of early. A 13.77 is on his card and he is 2 from 4 drawn in three. Always campaigned at the highest level Blonde Buzz is a classy animal and there’s no Droopys Nelson to try and dislodge this evening. If he shows his best early and adds the pace he showed on Monday he could open up a decent sized lead here. A threat to leading up is T5 Show Your Metal who has been running in good company round here of late. Show Your Metal has been finding that one too good tho and I think in Blonde Buzz he’ll meet another of those ‘ones’. The inside pair have claims. Honest Ruler couldn’t get the room here last week when showing decent pace throughout and a draw on the paint suits while T2 Bluetoon Sal won in a good time l.t.o on what was a first run back from a break. There’s a chance she could bounce as that run marked improved form but we’ll have to lead this pair up to ensure they can’t run their races. Outside of us T4 So Persistant should be called so consistent such is the level of his form right now but there’s too many 2nds on that card for my liking while Bubble Boy I can’t have on what his achieved so far over the trip.

SEL – T3 BLONDE BUZZ 4PTS WIN NAP

Neds Tissue: 4, 9/2, 7/4, 9/2, 4, 8

10.24 400M

I don’t fancy Black Taxi in this I’ll be honest. This race looks set for a slight upset and T4 NEXT LUNCH can use his excellent early to cause a minor shock here. The dog is no mug, a 24.24 best shows that and drawn back in four tonight can see him break with one of his sub 3.70’s and that could propel him into a nice lead. Droopys Geisha can chase him home for the forecast.

SEL – T4 NEXT LUNCH 0.5 PTS WIN

10.40 575M

T2 BONVILLE BUSTER is very interesting stepping up in trip tonight. They’ve tested the water with him in a trial spin which went perhaps a bit too well and any repeat of such a time will see him hard to beat tonight. Cagey Max flew round a couple of weeks ago in a modest maiden when the track was running very fast and he has since had his colours lowered while T1 Bubbly Midas has been running with credit lately and looks a cert for combo players.

SEL – T2 BONVILLE BUSTER 0.5 PTS WIN